Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Paul 50.4% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Frost
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
53.0% (644)
-5.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
37.5% (24)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.9% (177)
-22.9%
On power play, Frost has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Frost
Paul
Home
51.1% (221)
52.5% (516)
Away
45.9% (246)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Frost
Paul
P1
47.5%
47.6%
P2
52.3%
48.4%
P3
44.7%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
48.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%