Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 65.2%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 67.5%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 64.3%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Frost
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Frost
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Frost
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Frost
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
42.5% (207)
+3.1%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
40.0% (10)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
On power play, Frost has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Holmberg is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Frost
Holmberg
Home
47.0% (440)
40.9% (127)
Away
44.8% (511)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Frost
Holmberg
P1
42.5%
47.8%
P2
47.9%
43.8%
P3
46.6%
37.2%
Final 5 min
48.5%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |