Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 88.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 63.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Frost
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Frost
Holmberg
Last 6: Frost 4-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
2
Frost
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
49.0% (245)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
48.6% (37)
+1.4%
On power play, Frost has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Frost
Holmberg
Home
50.7% (489)
50.3% (147)
Away
51.7% (544)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Frost
Holmberg
P1
53.6%
59.2%
P2
47.8%
40.0%
P3
52.0%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |