Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 65.0%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 68.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Frost
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
45.7% (175)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
75.0% (8)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.0% (20)
-15.0%
On power play, Holmberg has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Frost
Holmberg
Home
49.9% (399)
50.9% (112)
Away
49.1% (424)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Frost
Holmberg
P1
51.2%
47.1%
P2
53.9%
45.7%
P3
42.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |