Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 53.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Frost
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Frost
Monahan
Last 10: Frost 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
3
Frost
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
13
Frost
Monahan
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
51.1% (11,407)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
53.6% (2,582)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
45.9% (772)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Frost
Monahan
Home
51.4% (2,101)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Frost
Monahan
P1
51.2%
51.0%
P2
51.3%
51.7%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
64.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |