Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Frost
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Frost
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
55.3% (897)
-9.7%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
61.1% (113)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
50.8% (132)
+4.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Frost
Karlsson
Home
47.0% (440)
58.6% (560)
Away
44.8% (511)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Frost
Karlsson
P1
42.5%
55.8%
P2
47.9%
55.6%
P3
46.6%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |