Morgan Frost vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 72.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Frost
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Frost
Karlsson
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
8
Frost
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
2
Frost
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Frost
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
51.8% (7,849)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
54.8% (1,048)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
44.2% (1,109)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Frost shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Frost
Karlsson
Home
51.4% (2,101)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Frost
Karlsson
P1
51.2%
50.3%
P2
51.3%
51.3%
P3
48.8%
52.4%
OT
64.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |