Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Foligno 51.8% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
MacKinnon
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
58.1% (31)
-12.3%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
50.0% (2)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
50.0% (6)
-22.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Foligno
Home
49.5% (396)
56.3% (16)
Away
41.7% (448)
56.5% (23)
By Period
MacKinnon
Foligno
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
43.8%
66.7%
P3
41.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%