Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Foligno 52.3% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
MacKinnon
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
52.0% (50)
-7.3%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
66.7% (21)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+65.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Foligno
Home
49.4% (553)
51.2% (41)
Away
40.0% (615)
61.3% (31)
By Period
MacKinnon
Foligno
P1
45.3%
55.6%
P2
42.7%
48.0%
P3
45.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
55.6%