Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
51.0% (408)
-5.5%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
0.0% (6)
+56.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
35.9% (78)
+4.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.8% (670)
50.8% (258)
Away
44.6% (644)
44.9% (234)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.3%
51.6%
P2
48.5%
45.2%
P3
45.0%
47.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%