Nathan MacKinnon vs Sam Bennett
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.2%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bennett 47.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
MacKinnon
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
22
(50 meetings)
28
22
MacKinnon
Bennett
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
6
MacKinnon
Bennett
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
10
8
MacKinnon
Bennett
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
10
8
MacKinnon
Bennett
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
46.8% (5,714)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
53.6% (558)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.8% (256)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bennett
Home
49.7% (6,471)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bennett
P1
47.4%
48.0%
P2
46.6%
46.5%
P3
46.1%
46.8%
OT
48.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |