Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Couturier
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Couturier 54.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
MacKinnon
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKinnon
Couturier
Last 8: MacKinnon 3-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
MacKinnon
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
57.4% (303)
-11.6%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
65.5% (55)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
40.0% (70)
-12.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Couturier
Home
49.5% (396)
54.3% (219)
Away
41.7% (448)
56.9% (209)
By Period
MacKinnon
Couturier
P1
50.2%
53.2%
P2
43.8%
54.8%
P3
41.4%
57.9%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |