Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 43 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 68-47 in 115 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 84.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 84.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 87.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
MacKinnon
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
68
(115 meetings)
47
68
MacKinnon
Couturier
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
16
23
MacKinnon
Couturier
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
15
28
MacKinnon
Couturier
43 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
16
17
MacKinnon
Couturier
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
52.5% (11,097)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
59.7% (1,280)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.5% (1,823)
-5.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,266).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Couturier
Home
49.7% (6,471)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
MacKinnon
Couturier
P1
47.4%
52.6%
P2
46.6%
52.6%
P3
46.1%
52.9%
OT
48.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |