Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 42 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 58-58 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
MacKinnon
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
58
(116 meetings)
58
58
MacKinnon
Monahan
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
15
20
MacKinnon
Monahan
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
28
14
MacKinnon
Monahan
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
15
24
MacKinnon
Monahan
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
51.1% (11,407)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
45.9% (772)
-3.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Monahan
Home
49.7% (6,471)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
MacKinnon
Monahan
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
OT
48.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |