Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Walker wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.6% vs Paul 50.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 52.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Walker
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Walker
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
1
0
Walker
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Walker
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (138)
48.8% (666)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
60.0% (55)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Walker is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Walker shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Walker
Paul
Home
48.8% (84)
49.7% (348)
Away
56.9% (72)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Walker
Paul
P1
54.3%
51.0%
P2
51.7%
47.4%
P3
52.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
54.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |