Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Walker wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 52.3% vs Paul 52.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 64.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.7%
Neutral zone
Walker 51.4%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Walker
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Walker
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
1
0
Walker
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Walker
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (86)
53.1% (277)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.7% (29)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Walker has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Walker is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Walker shoots left. Paul is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Walker
Paul
Home
52.8% (53)
52.9% (155)
Away
57.5% (40)
54.3% (197)
By Period
Walker
Paul
P1
67.7%
55.6%
P2
46.7%
56.7%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |