Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.3%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.6% vs Paul 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 50.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Walker
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Walker
Paul
Last 5: Walker 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
2
0
Walker
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Walker
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (452)
52.6% (3,823)
+0.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.2% (484)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
46.9% (576)
-2.5%
On power play, Paul has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Walker is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Walker shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Walker
Paul
Home
52.7% (296)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
50.7% (203)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Walker
Paul
P1
58.4%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
51.0%
P3
50.9%
52.2%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
51.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |