Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Donato 45.3% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 94.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 94.3%
5.7%
94.3%
Dowd
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Dowd
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
42.9% (140)
+12.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
28.6% (7)
+28.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Dowd
Donato
Home
53.7% (445)
44.6% (83)
Away
47.7% (407)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Dowd
Donato
P1
48.8%
53.2%
P2
49.3%
33.3%
P3
54.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |