Nic Dowd vs Sebastian Aho

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 30 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 50.7% vs Aho 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor Dowd leads 38-36 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 89.3%
Defensive zone Dowd 81.9%
Neutral zone Dowd 52.0%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Dowd Aho
Head-to-Head Record
38 - 36 (74 meetings)
38
36
Dowd Aho
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
26
Dowd Aho
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
19
2
Dowd Aho
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
15
8
Dowd Aho
23 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
58.9% (1,310)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
46.5% (465)
-2.4%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Dowd
Aho
Home
51.9% (3,917)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Dowd
Aho
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
50.4%
52.1%
P3
50.3%
50.8%
OT
45.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 31, 2026 3 18:08 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 11, 2025 1 18:55 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 11, 2025 3 16:38 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 11, 2025 2 00:33 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Apr 2, 2025 3 12:58 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Apr 2, 2025 3 06:20 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 2, 2025 2 06:57 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 2, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Nic Dowd
Apr 2, 2025 1 09:29 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 20, 2024 3 10:50 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 20, 2024 2 04:24 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 20, 2024 2 00:23 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 20, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 20, 2024 1 08:56 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 3, 2024 2 11:53 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 3, 2024 2 10:48 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 3, 2024 1 19:28 Neutral Nic Dowd
Nov 3, 2024 1 03:22 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 3, 2024 1 03:15 Defensive Nic Dowd
Apr 5, 2024 3 17:41 Offensive Sebastian Aho