Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 52.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 63.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 54.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
44.4% (45)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
36.4% (11)
+20.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
49.6% (359)
39.4% (33)
Away
47.2% (345)
47.8% (23)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
46.7%
42.9%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
46.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.4%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%