Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,840)
46.3% (572)
+2.0%
Power Play
52.3% (731)
50.9% (53)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (457)
39.5% (38)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
49.9% (2,013)
46.3% (348)
Away
47.2% (2,017)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
47.8%
41.7%
P2
50.5%
49.6%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
29.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%