Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 64.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 50.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
46.5% (527)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
54.8% (42)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
39.5% (38)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
48.9% (178)
47.0% (315)
Away
50.7% (209)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
43.0%
41.6%
P2
55.9%
50.7%
P3
50.0%
47.6%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%