Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.2%). Foligno wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.4% vs Kapanen 48.5% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 62.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 51.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (215)
48.4% (450)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
54.1% (37)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
37.5% (32)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
47.5% (158)
48.1% (266)
Away
51.1% (135)
48.2% (253)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
42.7%
42.0%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.2%