Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Couturier 55.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Paul
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Paul
Couturier
Last 7: Paul 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Paul
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Paul
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
55.1% (1,008)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
64.1% (142)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
53.3% (45)
+6.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Paul
Couturier
Home
49.7% (348)
58.1% (609)
Away
50.2% (438)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Paul
Couturier
P1
51.0%
55.3%
P2
47.4%
55.8%
P3
51.5%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |