Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+15.9%)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Paul
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
39.8% (128)
+13.3%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
22.2% (9)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
0.0% (1)
+58.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Paul
Zegras
Home
56.0% (466)
29.7% (74)
Away
52.7% (512)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Paul
Zegras
P1
57.2%
40.7%
P2
54.9%
35.1%
P3
51.5%
41.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.4%