Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Sturm 59.0% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 89.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 69.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 77.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Ek
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Ek
Sturm
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
9
Ek
Sturm
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
60.6% (708)
-12.9%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
61.1% (18)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
56.4% (101)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Ek
Sturm
Home
48.3% (801)
61.6% (451)
Away
51.1% (801)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Ek
Sturm
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
50.1%
58.9%
P3
49.3%
64.6%
OT
40.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
49.7%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |