Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Thomas 51.9% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sturm
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
50.3% (652)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
54.2% (120)
+0.2%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Sturm
Thomas
Home
53.0% (168)
52.0% (400)
Away
56.0% (193)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Sturm
Thomas
P1
58.2%
49.6%
P2
53.2%
55.4%
P3
52.3%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%