Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 78.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Roy
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
28.6% (192)
+19.7%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
55.6% (9)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
30.8% (13)
+12.9%
On even strength, Roy has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
50.8% (376)
30.4% (112)
Away
45.4% (392)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
53.8%
27.7%
P2
43.5%
33.3%
P3
46.4%
27.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
29.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |