Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 72.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.4%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Roy
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
40.5% (190)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
42.9% (14)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
30.0% (10)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
54.0% (328)
40.7% (118)
Away
50.6% (348)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
53.5%
42.3%
P2
51.6%
37.5%
P3
51.6%
40.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%