Nicolas Roy vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicolas Roy holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Roy 48.4% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+13.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Roy 56.8%
Defensive zone Roy 90.7%
Neutral zone Roy 83.4%
Result Nicolas Roy favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Roy Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Roy Buchnevich
Last 9: Roy 6-3 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Roy Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy Buchnevich
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy Buchnevich
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
34.5% (931)
+14.2%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
44.2% (52)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
24.3% (37)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
49.5% (2,221)
35.6% (517)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
50.8%
35.2%
P2
46.3%
34.8%
P3
48.1%
33.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
38.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%
49.0%
48.4%
Buchnevich
48.0%
41.0%
34.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 20, 2025 1 02:22 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 3 00:40 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 2 16:45 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 1 18:13 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 03:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 00:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:29 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:25 Offensive Nicolas Roy
Nov 12, 2022 2 07:33 Defensive Nicolas Roy