Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Granlund wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs Cates 40.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 84.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 56.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 81.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Granlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Granlund
Cates
Last 7: Granlund 5-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Granlund
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
1
Granlund
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
40.4% (841)
+6.4%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
42.4% (66)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
32.7% (147)
+3.8%
On even strength, Granlund has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Granlund shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Granlund
Cates
Home
47.8% (178)
38.2% (566)
Away
41.7% (206)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Granlund
Cates
P1
44.7%
40.5%
P2
42.9%
42.4%
P3
45.7%
35.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
44.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |