Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cates
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
36.5% (156)
+10.2%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
40.7% (27)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
0.0% (3)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cates shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Cates
Zegras
Home
46.1% (521)
38.9% (113)
Away
43.3% (584)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Cates
Zegras
P1
48.0%
40.0%
P2
42.3%
38.1%
P3
44.3%
31.6%
OT
31.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%