Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 93.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Acciari
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
40.7% (460)
+14.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.5% (39)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
0.0% (1)
+52.1%
On power play, Novak has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Acciari
Novak
Home
55.2% (306)
47.0% (236)
Away
53.7% (268)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Acciari
Novak
P1
55.5%
43.1%
P2
54.3%
43.1%
P3
54.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
54.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%