Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Novak 43.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 94.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Acciari
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Acciari
Novak
Last 8: Acciari 4-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Acciari
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,304)
41.8% (1,568)
+11.0%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
51.5% (134)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,073)
50.0% (2)
-3.0%
On even strength, Acciari has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Acciari shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Acciari
Novak
Home
51.9% (2,139)
45.1% (831)
Away
50.7% (2,325)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Acciari
Novak
P1
52.3%
43.7%
P2
51.5%
42.8%
P3
50.2%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |