Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Novak 45.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 89.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 72.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Acciari
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Acciari
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Acciari
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
42.9% (198)
+13.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
40.9% (22)
-7.6%
On even strength, Acciari has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Acciari
Novak
Home
54.5% (279)
40.9% (110)
Away
53.0% (319)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Acciari
Novak
P1
56.9%
39.1%
P2
51.4%
43.9%
P3
53.2%
44.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.7%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |