Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 53.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Kapanen
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (45)
54.5% (870)
-10.1%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
62.4% (266)
-26.0%
On power play, Aho has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Kapanen shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Aho
Home
39.4% (33)
53.9% (603)
Away
47.8% (23)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Kapanen
Aho
P1
42.9%
54.1%
P2
40.0%
55.0%
P3
47.1%
57.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%