Oliver Kapanen vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kapanen wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 46.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 69.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 73.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Kapanen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kapanen
Aho
Last 6: Kapanen 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
0
Kapanen
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (572)
50.2% (6,646)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
58.9% (1,310)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
46.5% (465)
-7.0%
On power play, Aho has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Kapanen shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Aho
Home
46.3% (348)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
46.3% (315)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Kapanen
Aho
P1
41.7%
51.1%
P2
49.6%
52.1%
P3
47.5%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |