Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Dubois 49.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 66.7%
Defensive zone
Dubois 67.7%
Neutral zone
Dubois 65.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Zacha
Dubois
Last 8: Zacha 3-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
3
Zacha
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
49.3% (842)
+4.6%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
57.1% (35)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
55.6% (9)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
56.7% (538)
51.0% (445)
Away
52.8% (530)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
52.6%
50.3%
P2
54.8%
49.5%
P3
56.8%
49.0%
OT
59.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |