Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.9% vs Dubois 46.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 59.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.7%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (497)
40.3% (72)
+13.4%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
66.7% (3)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
51.0% (335)
34.5% (29)
Away
53.5% (310)
46.9% (49)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
60.0%
35.7%
P2
48.1%
42.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |