Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Dubois 48.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 60.9%
Defensive zone
Dubois 56.4%
Neutral zone
Dubois 58.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Dubois
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
4
Zacha
Dubois
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
44.8% (259)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
70.6% (34)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
75.0% (8)
-35.8%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
51.6% (438)
46.6% (163)
Away
52.4% (445)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
57.0%
44.0%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |