Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Dubois 49.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.4%
Defensive zone
Dubois 52.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 69.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Zacha
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zacha
Dubois
Last 6: Zacha 4-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
49.8% (1,064)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
46.3% (67)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
53.3% (30)
-8.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dubois
Home
53.4% (406)
48.3% (582)
Away
52.9% (333)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Zacha
Dubois
P1
56.8%
52.0%
P2
53.6%
49.9%
P3
49.2%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |