Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Zacha
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zacha
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Zacha
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
57.1% (871)
-3.2%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
53.1% (262)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
44.6% (139)
-0.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Zacha
Monahan
Home
56.7% (538)
55.3% (644)
Away
52.8% (530)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Zacha
Monahan
P1
52.6%
53.9%
P2
54.8%
55.3%
P3
56.8%
54.4%
OT
59.1%
76.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |