Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Zacha
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Zacha
Monahan
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Zacha
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
2
Zacha
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
53.6% (2,582)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
45.9% (772)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Zacha
Monahan
Home
49.7% (3,381)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Zacha
Monahan
P1
49.9%
51.0%
P2
49.2%
51.7%
P3
48.2%
51.0%
OT
53.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |