Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Zacha
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zacha
Monahan
Last 5: Zacha 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Zacha
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
53.0% (874)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
54.7% (161)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
47.5% (101)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Zacha
Monahan
Home
51.6% (438)
53.8% (558)
Away
52.4% (445)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Zacha
Monahan
P1
57.0%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
54.8%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
42.1%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |