Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 62.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Zacha
Crosby
Last 7: Zacha 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Zacha
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Zacha
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
56.2% (1,451)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
61.4% (293)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
55.3% (38)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
53.4% (406)
59.1% (939)
Away
52.9% (333)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
56.8%
54.9%
P2
53.6%
60.8%
P3
49.2%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |