Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 60.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zacha
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Zacha
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Zacha
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
64.7% (249)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
60.0% (15)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
51.6% (438)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.4% (445)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
57.0%
55.1%
P2
48.9%
53.1%
P3
50.5%
58.5%
OT
42.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |