Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 43 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 55-44 in 99 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 69.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Zacha
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
55
(99 meetings)
44
55
Zacha
Crosby
Last 10: Zacha 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
26
Zacha
Crosby
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
15
13
Zacha
Crosby
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
12
16
Zacha
Crosby
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
52.8% (18,031)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
57.4% (4,741)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
47.0% (766)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Zacha
Crosby
Home
49.7% (3,381)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Zacha
Crosby
P1
49.9%
53.6%
P2
49.2%
53.8%
P3
48.2%
53.3%
OT
53.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |