Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Hertl 55.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Zacha
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
54.1% (717)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
61.9% (210)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
58.1% (31)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hertl
Home
53.4% (406)
58.1% (492)
Away
52.9% (333)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Zacha
Hertl
P1
56.8%
57.1%
P2
53.6%
54.0%
P3
49.2%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |