Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Johnston 44.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 76.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Zacha
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Zacha
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
42.5% (318)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
55.6% (9)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
62.5% (8)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnston
Home
39.7% (131)
40.5% (168)
Away
49.7% (165)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Zacha
Johnston
P1
42.9%
46.9%
P2
46.4%
40.4%
P3
42.3%
41.9%
OT
87.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |