Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.9%). Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Johnston 49.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 58.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.6%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Zacha
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zacha
Johnston
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Zacha
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
6
7
Zacha
Johnston
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
49.1% (2,232)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
52.5% (179)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
44.7% (237)
-2.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnston
Home
49.7% (3,381)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Zacha
Johnston
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
49.2%
48.1%
P3
48.2%
48.6%
OT
53.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |