Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Johnston 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Zacha
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zacha
Johnston
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Zacha
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
6
7
Zacha
Johnston
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (4,953)
49.3% (2,024)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (788)
52.7% (165)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (547)
44.6% (233)
-2.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Zacha shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnston
Home
49.6% (3,278)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
48.5% (3,010)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Zacha
Johnston
P1
49.9%
49.7%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
48.9%
OT
54.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |