Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 44.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (-9.9%)
Offensive zone
Greig 70.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Greig
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (103)
49.2% (307)
-10.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
66.7% (6)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.2% (56)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Greig shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Greig
Carrick
Home
37.7% (53)
50.3% (175)
Away
41.1% (56)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Greig
Carrick
P1
41.7%
41.0%
P2
39.3%
51.2%
P3
37.8%
55.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
39.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.3%