Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 51.1% vs Carrick 54.2% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Greig 54.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 52.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Greig
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (347)
55.5% (470)
-3.6%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
50.0% (58)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Greig shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Greig
Carrick
Home
50.4% (254)
58.6% (261)
Away
52.5% (204)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Greig
Carrick
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
53.5%
P3
49.2%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%